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1.
BMJ Med ; 3(1): e000802, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38596814

RESUMEN

Objectives: To evaluate National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline recommendations for oncology drug treatments that have been granted accelerated approval, and to determine whether recommendations are updated based on the results of confirmatory trials after approval and based on status updates from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Design: Cross sectional study. Setting: US FDA and NCCN guidelines. Population: Oncology therapeutic indications (ie, specific oncological conditions for which the drug is recommended) that have been granted accelerated approval in 2009-18. Main outcome measures: NCCN guideline reporting of accelerated approval status and postapproval confirmatory trials, and guideline recommendation alignment with postapproval confirmatory trial results and FDA status updates. Results: 39 oncology drug treatments were granted accelerated approval for 62 oncological indications. Although all indications were recommended in NCCN guidelines, accelerated approval status was reported for 10 (16%) indications. At least one postapproval confirmatory trial was identified for all 62 indications, 33 (53%) of which confirmed benefit; among these indications, NCCN guidelines maintained the previous recommendation or strengthened the category of evidence for 27 (82%). Postapproval confirmatory trials failed to confirm benefit for 12 (19%) indications; among these indications, NCCN guidelines removed the previous recommendation or weakened the category of evidence for five (42%). NCCN guidelines reflected the FDA's decision to convert 30 (83%) of 36 indications from accelerated to traditional approval, of which 20 (67%) had guideline updates before the FDA's conversion decision. NCCN guidelines reflected the FDA's decision to withdraw seven (58%) of 12 indications from the market, of which four (57%) had guidelines updates before the FDA's withdrawal decision. Conclusions: NCCN guidelines always recommend drug treatments that have been granted accelerated approval for oncological indications, but do not provide information about their accelerated approval status, including surrogate endpoint use and status of postapproval confirmatory trials. NCCN guidelines consistently provide information on postapproval trial results confirming clinical benefit, but not on postapproval trials failing to confirm clinical benefit. NCCN guidelines more frequently update recommendation for indications converted to traditional approval than for those approvals that were withdrawn.

2.
JAMA ; 2024 Apr 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38598231

RESUMEN

This study examines whether payments from a left ventricular assist device manufacturer to cardiologists performing percutaneous coronary intervention were associated with any use of the devices.

3.
JAMA ; 2024 Apr 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38648042

RESUMEN

Importance: Surrogate markers are increasingly used as primary end points in clinical trials supporting drug approvals. Objective: To systematically summarize the evidence from meta-analyses, systematic reviews and meta-analyses, and pooled analyses (hereafter, meta-analyses) of clinical trials examining the strength of association between treatment effects measured using surrogate markers and clinical outcomes in nononcologic chronic diseases. Data sources: The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Adult Surrogate Endpoint Table and MEDLINE from inception to March 19, 2023. Study Selection: Three reviewers selected meta-analyses of clinical trials; meta-analyses of observational studies were excluded. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Two reviewers extracted correlation coefficients, coefficients of determination, slopes, effect estimates, or results from meta-regression analyses between surrogate markers and clinical outcomes. Main Outcomes and Measures: Correlation coefficient or coefficient of determination, when reported, was classified as high strength (r ≥ 0.85 or R2 ≥ 0.72); primary findings were otherwise summarized. Results: Thirty-seven surrogate markers listed in FDA's table and used as primary end points in clinical trials across 32 unique nononcologic chronic diseases were included. For 22 (59%) surrogate markers (21 chronic diseases), no eligible meta-analysis was identified. For 15 (41%) surrogate markers (14 chronic diseases), at least 1 meta-analysis was identified, 54 in total (median per surrogate marker, 2.5; IQR, 1.3-6.0); among these, median number of trials and patients meta-analyzed was 18.5 (IQR, 12.0-43.0) and 90 056 (IQR, 20 109-170 014), respectively. The 54 meta-analyses reported 109 unique surrogate marker-clinical outcome pairs: 59 (54%) reported at least 1 r or R2, 10 (17%) of which reported at least 1 classified as high strength, whereas 50 (46%) reported slopes, effect estimates, or results of meta-regression analyses only, 26 (52%) of which reported at least 1 statistically significant result. Conclusions and Relevance: Most surrogate markers used as primary end points in clinical trials to support FDA approval of drugs treating nononcologic chronic diseases lacked high-strength evidence of associations with clinical outcomes from published meta-analyses.

4.
JAMA ; 2024 Mar 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38506706

RESUMEN

This Viewpoint describes implications for medicine and public health if the US Supreme Court decides to overturn or narrow Chevron deference.

5.
J Surg Res ; 298: 47-52, 2024 Mar 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38554545

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Disparities in opioid prescribing by race/ethnicity have been described in many healthcare settings, with White patients being more likely to receive an opioid prescription than other races studied. As surgeons increase prescribing of nonopioid medications in response to the opioid epidemic, it is unknown whether postoperative prescribing disparities also exist for these medications, specifically gabapentinoids. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using a 20% Medicare sample for 2013-2018. We included patients ≥66 years without prior gabapentinoid use who underwent one of 14 common surgical procedures. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients prescribed gabapentinoids at discharge among racial and ethnic groups. Secondary outcomes were days' supply of gabapentinoids, opioid prescribing at discharge, and oral morphine equivalent (OME) of opioid prescriptions. Trends over time were constructed by analyzing proportion of postoperative prescribing of gabapentinoids and opioids for each year. For trends by year by racial/ethnic groups, we ran a multivariable logistic regression with an interaction term of procedure year and racial/ethnic group. RESULTS: Of the 494,922 patients in the cohort (54% female, 86% White, 5% Black, 5% Hispanic, mean age 73.7 years), 3.7% received a new gabapentinoid prescription. Gabapentinoid prescribing increased over time for all groups and did not differ significantly among groups (P = 0.13). Opioid prescribing also increased, with higher proportion of prescribing to White patients than to Black and Hispanic patients in every year except 2014. CONCLUSIONS: We found no significant prescribing variation of gabapentinoids in the postoperative period between racial/ethnic groups. Importantly, we found that despite national attention to disparities in opioid prescribing, variation continues to persist in postoperative opioid prescribing, with a higher proportion of White patients being prescribed opioids, a difference that persisted over time.

6.
JAMA ; 331(15): 1325-1327, 2024 04 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38546577

RESUMEN

This study examines the distribution of payments within and across specialties and the medical products associated with the largest total payments.


Asunto(s)
Industria Farmacéutica , Equipos y Suministros , Médicos , Humanos , Conflicto de Intereses/economía , Bases de Datos Factuales , Industria Farmacéutica/economía , Médicos/economía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos , Economía Médica , Equipos y Suministros/economía
7.
J Pharm Policy Pract ; 17(1): 2312374, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38434725

RESUMEN

Background: To reduce Medicare prescription drug expenditures, the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) allows the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) to directly negotiate with drug manufacturers on Medicare prices of high-expenditure drugs (≥$200m annual spending) which meet certain eligibility criteria. However, it is unclear what proportion of high-expenditure drugs covered by Medicare, and attributable annual drug spending, would typically be eligible for CMS negotiations in a given year. Methods: We used historical Medicare drug spending data to determine how many high-expenditure drugs, and attributable drug spending, would have been eligible for CMS negotiations had the IRA been in effect from 2016-2019, while also determining which of the IRA's eligibility criteria is most restrictive. Results: From 2016-2019, approximately one third (33.3% for Part B, 32.4% for Part D) of high-expenditure Medicare drugs would have been eligible for negotiation, with ineligible drugs accounting for 75.2% and 63.8% of spending on high-expenditure drugs in Medicare Part B and D, respectively. Most ineligible high-expenditure drugs were ineligible because they launched too recently. From 2016-2019, between 59 and 74 high-expenditure drugs were eligible per year, indicating that in some years there may not be enough eligible drugs for CMS to negotiate on the maximum number of drugs allowable by law. Conclusions: The IRA's current eligibility criteria may restrict CMS from being able to negotiate drug prices on approximately two-thirds of the high-expenditure drugs covered by Medicare and may not allow CMS to negotiate on the maximum number of drugs allowable by law. Congress could consider relaxing eligibility requirements for price negotiation, such as those pertaining to launch date recency, to ensure there are a sufficient number of high-expenditure drugs eligible for negotiation or make certain ineligible drugs contributing to significant annual Medicare spending eligible for negotiation on a case-by-case basis.

9.
BMJ Open ; 14(2): e081252, 2024 Feb 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38331855

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To compare industry payment patterns among US psychiatrists and psychiatric advanced practice clinicians (APCs) and determine how scope of practice laws has influenced these patterns. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: This study used the publicly available US Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Sunshine Act Open Payment database and the National Plan and Provider Enumeration System (NPPES) database for the year 2021. PARTICIPANTS: All psychiatrists and psychiatric APCs (subdivided into nurse practitioners (NPs) and clinical nurse specialists (CNSs)) included in either database. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Number and percentage of clinicians receiving industry payments and value of payments received. Total payments and number of transactions by type of payment, payment source and clinician type were also evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 85 053 psychiatric clinicians (61 011 psychiatrists (71.7%), 21 895 NPs (25.7%), 2147 CNSs (2.5%)) were reviewed; 16 240 (26.6%) psychiatrists received non-research payment from industry, compared with 10 802 (49.3%) NPs and 231 (10.7%) CNSs (p<0.001) for pairwise comparisons). Psychiatric NPs were significantly more likely to receive industry payments compared with psychiatrists (incidence rate ratio (IRR), 1.85 (95% CI 1.81 to 1.88); p<0.001)). Compared with psychiatrists, NPs were more likely to receive payments of > United States Dollars (US) $) 100 (33.9% vs 14.6%; IRR, 2.14 (2.08 to 2.20); p<0.001) and > US$ 1000 (5.3% vs 4.1%; IRR, 1.29 (1.20 to 1.38); p<0.001) but less likely to receive > US$ 10 000 (0.4% vs 1.0%; IRR, 0.39 (0.31 to 0.49); p<0.001). NPs in states with 'reduced' or 'restricted' scope of practice received more frequent payments (reduced: IRR, 1.22 (1.18 to 1.26); restricted: IRR, 1.26 (1.22 to 1.30), both p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric NPs were nearly two times as likely to receive industry payments as psychiatrists, while psychiatric CNSs were less than half as likely to receive payment. Stricter scope of practice laws increases the likelihood of psychiatric NPs receiving payment, the opposite of what was found in a recent specialty agnostic study.


Asunto(s)
Medicare , 60475 , Anciano , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Estudios Transversales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Industrias , Bases de Datos Factuales , Industria Farmacéutica
10.
JAMA Intern Med ; 184(4): 446-447, 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38345787
11.
BMJ Med ; 3(1): e000627, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38352020

RESUMEN

Objective: To better understand the state of research on the effects of climate change on human health, including exposures, health conditions, populations, areas of the world studied, funding sources, and publication characteristics, with a focus on topics that are relevant for populations at risk. Design: Cross sectional study. Data sources: The National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences climate change and human health literature portal, a curated bibliographical database of global peer reviewed research and grey literature was searched. The database combines searches of multiple search engines including PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, and includes added-value expert tagging of climate change exposures and health impacts. Eligibility criteria: Inclusion criteria were peer reviewed, original research articles that investigated the health effects of climate change and were published in English from 2012 to 2021. After identification, a 10% random sample was selected to manually perform a detailed characterisation of research topics and publication information. Results: 10 325 original research articles were published between 2012 and 2021, and the number of articles increased by 23% annually. In a random sample of 1014 articles, several gaps were found in research topics that are particularly relevant to populations at risk, such as those in the global south (134 countries established through the United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation) (n=444; 43.8%), adults aged 65 years or older (n=195; 19.2%), and on topics related to human conflict and migration (n=25; 2.5%) and food and water quality and security (n=148; 14.6%). Additionally, fewer first authors were from the global south (n=349; 34.4%), which may partly explain why research focusing on these countries is disproportionally less. Conclusions: Although the body of research on the health effects of climate change has grown substantially over the past decade, including those with a focus on the global south, a disproportionate focus continues to be on countries in the global north and less at risk populations. Governments are the largest source of funding for such research, and governments, particularly in the global north, need to re-orient their climate and health research funding to support researchers in the global south and to be more inclusive of issues that are relevant to the global south.

12.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 17(1): e010200, 2024 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38189127

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Following regulatory approval, medical devices may be used "off-label." Patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure is indicated to reduce recurrent stroke but has been proposed for other indications, including migraine, transient ischemic attack, and diving decompression illness. We sought to evaluate PFO closure rates and indications relative to the timing of regulatory approval and publication of key randomized trials. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the OptumLabs Data Warehouse of US commercial insurance enrollees from 2006 to 2019. We quantified PFO closure among individuals with ≥2 years of preprocedure coverage to establish indications, classified hierarchically as stroke/systemic embolism, migraine, transient ischemia attack, or other. RESULTS: We identified 5315 patients undergoing PFO closure (51.8% female, 29.2%≥60 years old), which increased from 4.75 per 100 000 person-years in 2006 to 6.60 per 100 000 person-years in 2019. Patients aged ≥60 years accounted for 29.2% of closures. Procedure volumes corresponded weakly with supportive clinical publications and device approval. Among patients with PFO closure, 58.6% underwent closure for stroke/systemic embolism, 10.2% for transient ischemia attack, 8.8% for migraine, and 22.4% for other indications; 17.6% of patients had atrial fibrillation at baseline; and 11.9% developed atrial fibrillation postprocedure. Those aged ≥60 years and male were less likely to undergo closure for migraine than stroke/systemic embolism. CONCLUSIONS: From 2006 to 2019, PFO closure use was consistently low and corresponded weakly with clinical trial publications and regulatory status. Nearly half of patients underwent PFO closure for indications unapproved by the Food and Drug Administration. Regulators and payers should coordinate mechanisms to promote utilization for approved indications to ensure patient safety and should facilitate clinical trials for other possible indications.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Embolia , Foramen Oval Permeable , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Trastornos Migrañosos , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Foramen Oval Permeable/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Cateterismo Cardíaco , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/prevención & control , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/etiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/prevención & control , Prevención Secundaria/métodos , Isquemia
13.
JAMA ; 331(2): 111-123, 2024 01 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38193960

RESUMEN

Importance: Equity is an essential domain of health care quality. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) developed 2 Disparity Methods that together assess equity in clinical outcomes. Objectives: To define a measure of equitable readmissions; identify hospitals with equitable readmissions by insurance (dual eligible vs non-dual eligible) or patient race (Black vs White); and compare hospitals with and without equitable readmissions by hospital characteristics and performance on accountability measures (quality, cost, and value). Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional study of US hospitals eligible for the CMS Hospital-Wide Readmission measure using Medicare data from July 2018 through June 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: We created a definition of equitable readmissions using CMS Disparity Methods, which evaluate hospitals on 2 methods: outcomes for populations at risk for disparities (across-hospital method); and disparities in care within hospitals' patient populations (within-a-single-hospital method). Exposures: Hospital patient demographics; hospital characteristics; and 3 measures of hospital performance-quality, cost, and value (quality relative to cost). Results: Of 4638 hospitals, 74% served a sufficient number of dual-eligible patients, and 42% served a sufficient number of Black patients to apply CMS Disparity Methods by insurance and race. Of eligible hospitals, 17% had equitable readmission rates by insurance and 30% by race. Hospitals with equitable readmissions by insurance or race cared for a lower percentage of Black patients (insurance, 1.9% [IQR, 0.2%-8.8%] vs 3.3% [IQR, 0.7%-10.8%], P < .01; race, 7.6% [IQR, 3.2%-16.6%] vs 9.3% [IQR, 4.0%-19.0%], P = .01), and differed from nonequitable hospitals in multiple domains (teaching status, geography, size; P < .01). In examining equity by insurance, hospitals with low costs were more likely to have equitable readmissions (odds ratio, 1.57 [95% CI, 1.38-1.77), and there was no relationship between quality and value, and equity. In examining equity by race, hospitals with high overall quality were more likely to have equitable readmissions (odds ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.03-1.26]), and there was no relationship between cost and value, and equity. Conclusion and Relevance: A minority of hospitals achieved equitable readmissions. Notably, hospitals with equitable readmissions were characteristically different from those without. For example, hospitals with equitable readmissions served fewer Black patients, reinforcing the role of structural racism in hospital-level inequities. Implementation of an equitable readmission measure must consider unequal distribution of at-risk patients among hospitals.


Asunto(s)
Equidad en Salud , Disparidades en Atención de Salud , Hospitales , Medicare , Readmisión del Paciente , Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Anciano , Humanos , Población Negra , Estudios Transversales , Hospitales/normas , Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricos , Medicare/normas , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Estados Unidos , Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Blanco/estadística & datos numéricos , Equidad en Salud/economía , Equidad en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/economía , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/etnología , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación del Resultado de la Atención al Paciente , Calidad de la Atención de Salud/economía , Calidad de la Atención de Salud/normas , Calidad de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos
14.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 167: 111263, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38219810

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Clinical study reports (CSRs) are highly detailed documents that play a pivotal role in medicine approval processes. Though not historically publicly available, in recent years, major entities including the European Medicines Agency (EMA), Health Canada, and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) have highlighted the importance of CSR accessibility. The primary objective herein was to determine the proportion of CSRs that support medicine approvals available for public download as well as the proportion eligible for independent researcher request via the study sponsor. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: This cross-sectional study examined the accessibility of CSRs from industry-sponsored clinical trials whose results were reported in the FDA-authorized drug labels of the top 30 highest-revenue medicines of 2021. We determined (1) whether the CSRs were available for download from a public repository, and (2) whether the CSRs were eligible for request by independent researchers based on trial sponsors' data sharing policies. RESULTS: There were 316 industry-sponsored clinical trials with results presented in the FDA-authorized drug labels of the 30 sampled medicines. Of these trials, CSRs were available for public download from 70 (22%), with 37 available at EMA and 40 at Health Canada repositories. While pharmaceutical company platforms offered no direct downloads of CSRs, sponsors confirmed that CSRs from 183 (58%) of the 316 clinical trials were eligible for independent researcher request via the submission of a research proposal. Overall, 218 (69%) of the sampled clinical trials had CSRs available for public download and/or were eligible for request from the trial sponsor. CONCLUSION: CSRs were available from 69% of the clinical trials supporting regulatory approval of the 30 medicines sampled. However, only 22% of the CSRs were directly downloadable from regulatory agencies, the remaining required a formal application process to request access to the CSR from the study sponsor.


Asunto(s)
Proyectos de Investigación , Informe de Investigación , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas , Difusión de la Información , Aprobación de Drogas
15.
BMJ Open ; 14(1): e074030, 2024 01 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38199641

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Accurate, patient-centred evaluation of physical function in patients with cancer can provide important information on the functional impacts experienced by patients both from the disease and its treatment. Increasingly, digital health technology is facilitating and providing new ways to measure symptoms and function. There is a need to characterise the longitudinal measurement characteristics of physical function assessments, including clinician-reported outcome, patient-reported ported outcome (PRO), performance outcome tests and wearable data, to inform regulatory and clinical decision-making in cancer clinical trials and oncology practice. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: In this prospective study, we are enrolling 200 English-speaking and/or Spanish-speaking patients with breast cancer or lymphoma seen at Mayo Clinic or Yale University who will receive intravenous cytotoxic chemotherapy. Physical function assessments will be obtained longitudinally using multiple assessment modalities. Participants will be followed for 9 months using a patient-centred health data aggregating platform that consolidates study questionnaires, electronic health record data, and activity and sleep data from a wearable sensor. Data analysis will focus on understanding variability, sensitivity and meaningful changes across the included physical function assessments and evaluating their relationship to key clinical outcomes. Additionally, the feasibility of multimodal physical function data collection in real-world patients with breast cancer or lymphoma will be assessed, as will patient impressions of the usability and acceptability of the wearable sensor, data aggregation platform and PROs. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has received approval from IRBs at Mayo Clinic, Yale University and the US Food and Drug Administration. Results will be made available to participants, funders, the research community and the public. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05214144; Pre-results.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama , Fabaceae , Linfoma , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Oncología Médica , Instituciones de Atención Ambulatoria
17.
JAMA Dermatol ; 160(2): 226-229, 2024 Feb 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38117528

RESUMEN

This cross-sectional study characterizes the frequency and degree of innovation of new dermatologic drugs approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) from 2012 to 2022.


Asunto(s)
Aprobación de Drogas , Estados Unidos , Humanos , United States Food and Drug Administration , Factores de Tiempo
18.
JAMA ; 330(24): 2392-2394, 2023 12 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38079163

RESUMEN

This study evaluates whether FDA-approved novel cancer therapeutics supported by pivotal trials with adequate representation of minoritized groups were associated with slower clinical development times than those with inadequate representation.


Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Demografía , Aprobación de Drogas , Neoplasias , Humanos , Oncología Médica , Neoplasias/terapia , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration , Difusión de Innovaciones , Factores de Tiempo
20.
BMJ ; 383: e077166, 2023 12 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38123175

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine the health benefits and harms of various ingredients in Christmas desserts from The Great British Bake Off. DESIGN: Umbrella review of umbrella reviews of meta-analyses of observational studies. DATA SOURCES: The Great British Bake Off website, Embase, Medline, and Scopus. INCLUSION CRITERIA: Umbrella reviews of meta-analyses of observational studies evaluating the associations between Christmas dessert ingredients and the risk of death or disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of protective and harmful summary associations between ingredient groups from The Great British Bake Off Christmas dessert recipes and the risk of death or disease. RESULTS: 48 recipes for Christmas desserts (ie, cakes, biscuits, pastries, and puddings and desserts) were provided on The Great British Bake Off website with 178 unique ingredients that were collapsed into 17 overarching ingredient groups. A literature search identified 7008 titles and abstracts, of which 46 eligible umbrella reviews reported 363 unique summary associations between the ingredient groups and risk of death or disease. Of these summary associations, 149 (41%) were significant, including 110 (74%) that estimated that the ingredient groups reduced the risk of death or disease and 39 (26%) that increased the risk. The most common ingredient groups associated with a reduced risk of death or disease were fruit (44/110, 40%), coffee (17/110, 16%), and nuts (14/110, 13%), whereas alcohol (20/39, 51%) and sugar (5/39, 13%) were the most common ingredient groups associated with increased risk of death or disease. CONCLUSIONS: Recipes for Christmas desserts from The Great British Bake Off often use ingredient groups that are associated with reductions, rather than increases, in the risk of death or disease. This Christmas, if concerns about the limitations of observational nutrition research are set aside, you can have your cake and eat it too.


Asunto(s)
Café , Nueces , Humanos , Café/efectos adversos , Nueces/efectos adversos , Metaanálisis como Asunto , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto
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